Will Tasmania confound election predictions again? - Australian politics live podcast by The Guardian Podcasts published on 2019-05-10T07:40:57Z At the 2016 federal election, Tasmania’s surprising swing towards Labor heralded a better result for the ALP than many expected. But now the Coalition seems confident it can win back seats such as Braddon and Bass – the most volatile in the country – on 18 May. Adam Morton joins Mike Bowers on a trip through the two key marginals and speaks to Katharine Murphy about whether Labor’s concerns are justified.