Episode 011 - Linnia Hawkins: Forecasting Your New Climate by Earth Repair Radio with Andrew Millison

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Online Permaculture Design Certificate Course: https://pace.oregonstate.edu/catalog/permaculture-design-certificate

In this episode we explore the current state of climate science and how the common person goes about forecasting the changes likely to occur in their area. Our guest Linnia Hawkins works at the Oregon Climate Change Research Institute as a specialist in water, vegetation, and land surface processes, and relates up-to-date information on how climate change is modeled, and how someone can gain access to climate projections for their location. There are a lot of predictions about where our climate is headed in different scenarios, and Linnia helps to clear the static in assessing forecasts and understanding the major patterns at work, so we have a clearer vision of what to plan for.

Linnia's Show Links:
The Intergovernmental panel on climate change is the godfather of climate information at the global to regional scale:
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/

The Northwest Climate Toolbox provides very accessible climate data for our region:
https://climatetoolbox.org/

An example of the work OCCRI does:
https://climatecirculatororg.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/circs-big-wood-project/

National Climate Assessment:
http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/highlights/overview/overview

Köppen Climate Classification System
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K%C3%B6ppen…e_classification

Video: Climate Zones, Climate Change and Permaculture https://youtu.be/ifkc_NNufT4

Previous Episode on Permaculture Tools for Climate Change Design:
https://soundcloud.com/user-193856180/episode-010-dave-boehnlein-permaculture-tools-for-climate-change-design

Kim Stanley Robinson Book: New York 2140 (I mistakenly called this "Earth 2100" in the interview: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_2140

Linnia's Full Bio:
I am a PhD Candidate in Atmospheric Science at Oregon State University working for the Oregon Climate Change Research Institute. My research interests are in applied climate science, including issues surrounding water, vegetation, land-surface processes and natural resources in a changing climate. Working under David Rupp and Phil Mote, my current research uses citizen science to run large ensembles of regional climate simulations for the western United States. We use a dynamic vegetation model to simulate the roll of large-scale disturbance in biome shifts and to investigate how climate change may transform future distributions of vegetation. We aim to produce science that is relevant and valuable to decision makers and resource managers making climate related decisions by engaging in the coproduction of science and knowledge. Recognizing the importance of science outreach and engaging broader audiences, I also write for the Climate Circulator, a newsletter covering climate science in the Northwest. I contribute to the biennial Oregon Climate Assessment Report, and help communicate our findings to a broader audience by giving talks and engaging in community outreach activities.